We revised this note repeatedly, only to have each version overtaken by new developments. As of April 11, 2025, this represents our latest commentary on tariff announcements; anything introduced [...]
Given the recent volatility in the stock market, investors are left wondering about the potential disruptive effects of tariffs. Douglas Irwin, a professor at Dartmouth, is a widely recognized as [...]
As we look back at 2024, we want to summarize the major economic highlights of the year. Economic Data Mostly Positive US economic growth, job creation, and inflation continued to improve through [...]
With the election results now in, many investors are wondering if they should adjust their portfolio strategy. We have written in the past about how political affiliation can frame investors’ [...]
This election cycle, presidential candidates have characterized tariffs as both a miracle cure for all economic injustices as well as a potential tool for mass disruption. President Trump has [...]
Equity markets finished September higher, after a rough start with the S&P 500 down over 4% during the first week, the biggest weekly pullback of the year. Investors initially fretted over [...]
August began with a pullback in the stock market, with the S&P 500 falling over 6% in the first three trading days and the “Magnificent Seven” stocks dropping nearly 10% in the [...]
U.S. stocks started July on a high note bolstered by healthy second quarter earnings. While both equity and fixed income markets rose, sentiment had begun to shift with investors rotating out of [...]
Economic Data: Getting Cooler Despite the recent heat wave roiling the U.S., this month also brought data supporting the Fed’s soft landing narrative. May’s CPI was cooler than expected, [...]
Big Tech: Big Earnings The S&P 500 constituents closed out the first quarter with strong earnings. The Q1 blended growth rate for S&P 500 companies reached 5.9%, the highest since Q1 2022 [...]